DISTRICT VA HD-2

VA HD-2 Delegate - Jennifer Carroll Foy

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VA HD-2 District Map

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VA HD-2 Demographics

VA HD-2 Precinct Results - 2017 HD

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VA HD-2 Precinct Results - 2016 Presid

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HOW THIS DISTRICT VOTES

2016 Presidential Results

Clinton: 15,629 (55.8%)
Trump: 11,009 (39.3%)
Johnson: 786 (2.8%)
McMullen: 339 (1.2%)
Stein: 226 (0.8%)
Registered, didn’t vote:  17,439 (38.4%)

 2015 House of Delegates Results

King (D): 5,714 (49.5%)
Dudenhefer (R): 5,839 (50.5%)
Registered, didn’t vote: 30,412 (72.3%)

2014 US Senate Race Results

Warner (D): 8,605 (52.4%)
Gillespie (R): 7,509 (45.7%)
Sarvis (L): 309 (1.9%)
Registered, didn’t vote: 25,112 (60.5%)

2013 House of Delegates Results

Futrell (D): 8,189 (50.6%)
Dudenhefer (R): 7,966 (49.2%)
2013 Registered, didn’t vote: 24,227 (60.0%)

2013 Governor’s Race Results

McAuliffe (D): 8,304 (53.31%)
Cuccinelli R: 6,553 (42.07%)
Sarvis (L): 690 (4.43%)
Registered, didn’t vote:  (%)

Geography and Environment

District 2 is a part of the Washington D.C. Metro Area bisected by Prince William and Stafford counties. Its entire western border is the Potomac River and major cities are Quantico and Marumsco. A central focal point of the district is the Quantico Marine Corps Headquarters which houses the USMC’s primary training facility as well as the principal research and training facility of the FBI, and the principal training facility for the Drug Enforcement Agency (DEA).  The northern part of the district is also home to the Occoquan Bay National Wildlife Refuge.

Citizenry

The population of HD2 is overwhelmingly young with children, college age and young adults comprising 64% of the population, and only 36% over 40-65+. It ranks 5th highest in the state for the youngest children under 18 with 29% of the total. Roughly 50% of the population is White, 23% Black, 18% Hispanic, and 6% Asian. The white population is dispersed throughout the district, while the black population is primarily in the Cherry Hill and Triangle areas. The Hispanic population is primarily in the Marumsco area, having a 16% Catholic population. The Asian population lives closer to the metropolitan D.C. area and leads the district’s median income average at $99K annual household income.

Education

The educational level of the residents aged 25 or older closely mirrors VA averages: 42% have degrees higher than high school level and, of those, 30% have Bachelor’s degrees or above. 46% have high school diplomas, and 12.2% have no high school diploma. Distinctions between race are dramatic when it comes to lack of a high school diploma with Asians at only 3%, but Hispanics at a dismal 42% with no high school degree at all. The Quantico effect in the District also impacts education levels with an impressive 52.2% of the armed forces having a bachelor’s Degree or higher.

Sources

  • statisticalatlas.com/state-lower-legislative-district/Virginia/District-2/Overview
  • www.vpap.org/offices/house-of-delegates-2/redistricting/
  • www.countyhealthrankings.org/app/virginia/2017/rankings/prince-william/county/outcomes/overall/snapshot

Economy

The primary employer in District 2 is the U.S. government which employs more than 18% of the labor force, or twice the average number of 9% government employees in the rest of the state. Professional, scientific, and technical services add another 11% to the workforce. Adding another 10% in healthcare and 9% construction, the importance of government-related jobs is paramount. In other words, government- and government-related work adds up to almost 50% of the jobs across the District.   Of people aged 25 to 64, an average of 61% are employed, another 10.4% are in the Armed Forces, 5% are unemployed, and 24% are not in the work force. Approximately 6% of the families are on food stamps, which is only about half the average across the state.

Health Status

The leading causes of death for men in Virginia are cancer and heart disease. Most recently, opioid addiction has become one of the largest public health problems across the state–more Virginians die every year from an overdose than in automobile accidents. In HD2 specifically, residents of Stafford and Prince William County suffer fewer premature deaths than average for Virginia and the US, they smoke less and have a higher rate of physical activity than average for Virginia. Air pollution is higher than the norm for Virginia, and long commutes with single drivers are much higher than the norm. There is a shortage of healthcare primary care providers compared to Virginia (patient to provider ratio is 3330:1 vs. about 1320:1). In addition to opioid addiction, a health issue of great concern in both counties is adult obesity with 30% of the population affected, and additional 16-19% affected by excessive drinking.

Transportation

Transportation remains a big issue within the district as increasing number of federal and high-tech commuters clog the commuting corridors. Long, slow commutes in District 2 with single drivers are much higher than the norm for Virginia as well: 62% for PW and 52% for Stafford counties versus only 38% single drivers across Virginia. With Interstate 95 paralleling two-thirds of the District’s length, this is a long, very apparent concern.